SportsWill the following cities receive an NBA expansion franchise before 2030?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWill a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWill space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWhen will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SocietyWhat will China's total population be in these years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
PoliticsHow many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWill Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SocietyWill 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeopoliticsWill there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeopoliticsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
AIAfter a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceHow good will the best published polygenic score be for intelligence in 2026?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWhen will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeopoliticsWill the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
