ComputingWhen will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?$39.99 to go$0.01 of $40.00 funded1 funderFund
ComputingWill the majority of global computing power be based on non-silicon hardware before the end of the 21st century?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed a month agoNo funders yetFund
ComputingWill a fault-tolerant quantum computer be available to commercial users before January 1, 2030?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed a month agoNo funders yetFund
ComputingWill a new commonly accepted axiom be added to ZFC before 2050?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 2 months agoNo funders yetFund
CryptoWill a SHA-256 Collision or Preimage be Publicly Demonstrated before 2050?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 2 months agoNo funders yetFund
ComputingWill any non-superconducting quantum processor demonstrate below-threshold error correction before January 1, 2029?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 5 months agoNo funders yetFund
ComputingWhich of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWill a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWhen will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingWhen will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingWill there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingRagnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingWhen will AIs program programs that can program AIs?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWill there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
