ClimateWill Homo sapiens go extinct before 2400?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed a month agoNo funders yetFund
ScienceWill at least one paper published in Nature, Science, or Cell list an AI system as a formally credited author before January 1, 2030?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 2 months agoNo funders yetFund
ClimateWill there be a natural disaster causing at least 10 million deaths before 2101?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 2 months agoNo funders yetFund
EconomyWhich quantum hardware substrate will first factor a 2048-bit RSA modulus?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 3 months agoNo funders yetFund
ScienceWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental United States before September 1, 2026?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedListed 4 months agoNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhen will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceHow good will the best published polygenic score be for intelligence in 2026?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWhen will the first human be born on another world?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceHow many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateRagnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceRagnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund