ClimateWhat percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SocietyWill 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeopoliticsWill there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeopoliticsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
AIAfter a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceHow good will the best published polygenic score be for intelligence in 2026?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWhen will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeopoliticsWill the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SpaceWill China land the next person on the Moon?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingWhen will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SocietyWhat will the global fertility rate be in 2050?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingWill there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
MetaWhen will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWhen will the first human be born on another world?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
GeneralRagnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceHow many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateRagnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ScienceRagnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
