SportsWill an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SpaceWill the European Space Agency launch the PLATO spacecraft before 2027?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
PoliticsWill Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029? → What will be the 10 year compound annual growth rate for the S&P 500 in the 2020s?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhen will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
PoliticsWho will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWill an AGI be trained on cheap, accessible hardware before 2040?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWill the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ComputingWhich of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SportsWill the following cities receive an NBA expansion franchise before 2030?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
TechWill a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWill space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWhen will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?$40.00 to go$0.00 of $40.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
SocietyWhat will China's total population be in these years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
PoliticsHow many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
EconomyWill Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
ClimateWhat will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?$5.00 to go$0.00 of $5.00 fundedNo funders yetFund
