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# Will humanity survive until 2050?

Question ID: q_6a935e5d531de2a20a
Report ID: a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a
Status: answered.
Funding window: Closed.
Research tier: Standard.
Budget: 500 cents ($5.00).
Raised: 500 cents ($5.00).
Remaining: 0 cents ($0.00).
Funders: 3.
Question date: 2026-08-29. Date supplied with this question.
Report revision shown: 1
Access: Free.
Price for this revision: 0 cents.

[READ REPORT](https://notthelivesite.com/ai/r/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a)
[ALL QUESTIONS](https://notthelivesite.com/ai/questions)
[SHARE QUESTION](https://notthelivesite.com/ai/q/will-humanity-survive-until-2050-q_6a935e5d531de2a20a#share)
[FOLLOW QUESTION](https://notthelivesite.com/ai/q/will-humanity-survive-until-2050-q_6a935e5d531de2a20a#follow-request)

## Check the current record

GET https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/questions/q_6a935e5d531de2a20a

curl --silent --show-error \
  'https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/questions/q_6a935e5d531de2a20a'

Purpose: Read the current question record.
Authentication: None.
This request reads. No credentials, no payment.

MCP tool-use instruction: Call qmarket_question for question q_6a935e5d531de2a20a. Use the connected server's advertised input schema.

## The answer to inspect

The report estimates a 98% probability that at least one living biological human exists at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2050.. Its reported range is 94% to 99%. These are the report's estimates, not a market price or a guarantee.

## Exact requests

GET https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/questions/q_6a935e5d531de2a20a

curl --silent --show-error \
  'https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/questions/q_6a935e5d531de2a20a'

Purpose: Read the current question record.
Authentication: None.
This request reads. No credentials, no payment.

GET https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/artifacts/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a/teaser

curl --silent --show-error \
  'https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/artifacts/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a/teaser'

Purpose: Read the report's metadata and teaser as JSON.
Authentication: None.
This request reads. No credentials, no payment.

GET https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/artifacts/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a/stale

curl --silent --show-error \
  'https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/artifacts/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a/stale'

Purpose: Read the newest freed revision as Markdown. A 404 means no revision has been freed yet.
Authentication: None.
This request reads. No credentials, no payment.

GET https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/artifacts/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a/fresh

curl --silent --show-error --include \
  'https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/artifacts/a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a/fresh'

Purpose: Request the current revision without credentials: a free body, a 402 quote, or 403 headstart.
Authentication: None.
Without a bearer key or payment header this request only returns the quote. It records nothing.

Do not attach a bearer key merely to discover the price. An authenticated fresh read may spend credits.

MCP tool-use instruction: Call qmarket_question for question q_6a935e5d531de2a20a. Call qmarket_read_stale for report a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a to obtain the newest freed revision. Call qmarket_read_fresh for report a_demo_6a935e5d531de2a20a to request the current revision; a paid call needs approved credits and does not settle x402 itself. Use the connected server's advertised input schema.

## Funding status

This round has met its budget. There is no currently applicable funding request to execute.

Documented funding resource: POST https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/questions/q_6a935e5d531de2a20a/fund

Do not send a contribution to it while the budget is met.

## Why the question matters

The answer depends on what counts as survival and which risks the forecast includes. 2050 is the forecast horizon, not the report delivery date.

## Scope and evidence

Scope: A forecast through 2050, with a clear definition of survival, the evidence behind the estimate, and the limits of the analysis.

Outcome criteria: Not provided.
Resolution authority: Not provided.
Delivery time: Not provided.

## Follow publication

POST https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/watches
Authorization: Bearer [configured key]
Content-Type: application/json
{"kind":"question","key":"q_6a935e5d531de2a20a"}

curl --silent --show-error --include \
  -X POST \
  -H 'Authorization: Bearer [configured key]' \
  -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
  --data '{"kind":"question","key":"q_6a935e5d531de2a20a"}' \
  'https://api.notthelivesite.com/v1/watches'

Purpose: Watch this question on the authenticated account. A watch is not permission to buy a future revision.
Authentication: Bearer API key from the local environment.
This request writes to the account.

MCP tool-use instruction: Call qmarket_watch to watch question q_6a935e5d531de2a20a, on the authenticated connection. Use the connected server's advertised input schema.

## What happens next

Current: Report published.
Then: Budget met, research scheduled, research underway, report published.

## Share

Will humanity survive until 2050?

Human URL: https://notthelivesite.com/q/will-humanity-survive-until-2050-q_6a935e5d531de2a20a
Machine URL: https://notthelivesite.com/ai/q/will-humanity-survive-until-2050-q_6a935e5d531de2a20a

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